If You Don’t Train for Chaos, Chaos Trains You


Stop Being the Deer in the Headlights: Why You Must Prepare for the Worst

When you get down and think about it, martial arts training is nothing more than practicing and dealing with the worst things we imagined happening to us as kids—namely, getting punched, kicked, and thrown down to the ground.

But that's exactly what makes it so powerful.

It's what the Stoics called "premeditatio malorum" or, as we say today, negative visualization. It's why our military plays wargames and trains for worst-case scenarios repeatedly.

In martial arts training, we put ourselves in situations where other people are punching, kicking, choking, arm-barring, and anything else they can do to beat you up.

And the crazy part is not only did we sign up for it, but we pay money and invest time to do it month after month.

And we learn how to deal with it. That's the best part.

Recently, I saw a video clip from a YouTuber I've been watching to learn how to communicate better and conduct business in a less blue-collar kind of way—Yasar Ahmad. I saw this clip about getting thrown under the bus and how to deal with it.

The key takeaway: You don't deal with it when it happens.

Why? Because most likely, you didn't prepare and plan for the contingency, and you'll be like a deer in the headlights—taken aback, pushed back onto your heels, and dealing with it in a less than optimal way.

Most people hope for the best and don't prepare for the worst.

That's why they get caught flat-footed. That's why they freeze. That's why they handle challenges poorly when they arise.

The solution isn't to hope harder. The solution is to prepare better.

The Problem: Hoping for the Best, Ignoring the Worst

The Default Human Response

Most people operate under a set of unconscious assumptions:

  • Bad things won't happen to me
  • If they do, I'll figure it out in the moment
  • Thinking about bad outcomes is negative and will attract them
  • I don't want to waste energy on things that might not happen

This is called optimism bias—the tendency to believe you're less likely to experience negative events than others.

The problem: When the worst actually happens, you're completely unprepared.

The Deer in the Headlights Moment

You've seen it.

Maybe you've been it:

In a meeting: Someone throws you under the bus, blaming you for something that went wrong. You freeze. You stammer. You defend yourself poorly. You look guilty even if you're not.

In a confrontation: Someone gets aggressive with you. Your mind goes blank. Your body tenses. You either freeze or overreact.

In a crisis: Something breaks—a project, a relationship, a plan. You panic. You don't know what to do. You make emotional decisions instead of strategic ones.

Why this happens: Because you never thought about it before it happened. You hoped it wouldn't, so you didn't prepare.

The result: You're caught flat-footed, pushed back on your heels, reacting instead of responding.

The Cost of Being Unprepared

When you don't prepare for the worst:

  • You handle it poorly when it happens
  • You damage your reputation (people see you panic or fumble)
  • You make bad decisions under pressure
  • You take longer to recover
  • You create worse outcomes than necessary
  • You build a pattern of being reactive instead of proactive

The worst part: It was all preventable through simple preparation.

The Solution: Premeditatio Malorum (Negative Visualization)

The Stoics had a practice called premeditatio malorum—the premeditation of evils. In modern terms, negative visualization.

The practice: Deliberately imagine the worst things that could happen, then prepare for them.

This isn't pessimism. This isn't "attracting negativity." This is strategic preparation.

How the Stoics Used It

Marcus Aurelius would wake up and remind himself: "Today I will deal with meddling, ungrateful, arrogant, dishonest, jealous, and surly people."

Why? Not because he was pessimistic, but because when he encountered those people, he wasn't surprised or thrown off. He'd already prepared mentally for the reality of dealing with difficult people.

Seneca would imagine losing his wealth, his position, his health.

Why? So that if those things happened, he wouldn't be devastated. He'd already processed the loss mentally and prepared for how he'd handle it.

Epictetus taught his students to imagine everything they valued being taken away.

Why? So they would appreciate what they had while they had it, and so they wouldn't be destroyed if they lost it.

The pattern: Mentally rehearse the worst, so you're not caught off guard when it happens.

How the Military Uses It

The military doesn't hope for the best.

They train for the worst.

Why they run wargames:

  • To identify vulnerabilities before real conflict
  • To practice responses to worst-case scenarios
  • To build muscle memory for high-pressure situations
  • To test plans under simulated stress
  • To learn what works and what doesn't before lives are on the line

The result: When the actual worst happens, they've already practiced the response dozens or hundreds of times. They don't freeze. They execute.

This isn't limited to combat.

Every high-performing organization does this:

  • Fire departments run drills for worst-case fires
  • Hospitals practice mass casualty scenarios
  • Pilots train in simulators for every conceivable emergency
  • Emergency responders rehearse disasters

Why?

Because when seconds matter, you don't have time to think. You need to have already thought.

The Martial Arts Application: Paying to Get Beat Up

This is exactly what makes martial arts training so valuable—and so unusual.

What You're Actually Training For

As a kid, the worst things you could imagine:

  • Getting punched in the face
  • Getting kicked
  • Getting thrown to the ground
  • Being choked
  • Having someone try to break your arm
  • Being physically dominated

In martial arts training, you deliberately put yourself in all of these situations:

  • Sparring: People punch and kick you
  • Grappling: People throw, choke, and submit you
  • Drilling: You practice being in bad positions repeatedly

And the crazy part:

Not only did you sign up for it, but you pay money and invest time to do it month after month.

Why?

Because you're training yourself to not freeze when bad things happen.

What You Actually Learn

1. You learn that getting hit isn't the end of the world

The first time you get punched in the face, it's shocking. Your brain screams, "DANGER!"

The tenth time, it's just information: "Okay, I got hit. What's my response?"

2. You learn to stay calm under physical pressure

When someone's choking you, your instinct is to panic. But if you panic, you lose.

You learn to breathe, think, and execute a technique even when your lizard brain is screaming.

3. You learn that you can handle more than you think

You discover that being thrown to the ground doesn't destroy you. Getting submitted doesn't end you. You tap, you reset, you go again.

4. You build responses that become automatic

Through repetition, your responses to attacks become automatic. You don't have to think "What do I do if someone throws a right hook?"—your body already knows.

The result: When actual danger happens, you don't freeze. You respond.

The Transfer to Life

This training transfers far beyond physical confrontation.

What martial arts actually teaches you:

  • Composure under pressure: When things go wrong, you don't panic
  • Comfort with discomfort: You're used to being in bad situations
  • Response over reaction: You've practiced what to do, so you execute instead of flailing
  • Resilience: You've been "defeated" thousands of times in training and learned it's not the end

The person who's never been punched will freeze the first time it happens.

"Everybody has a plan until they get punched in the mouth."
- Mike Tyson in response to Tyrell Biggs

The person who's been punched a thousand times in training will stay calm and respond effectively.

The same applies to life's "punches":

The person who's never thought about being thrown under the bus will freeze when it happens.

The person who's mentally rehearsed it and prepared a response will handle it smoothly.

The Business Application: Getting Thrown Under the Bus

In Yasar Ahmad's video about getting thrown under the bus, the core message is this:

You don't deal with it when it happens.

You prepare for it before it happens.

The Scenario

Someone publicly blames you for something that went wrong—maybe in a meeting, maybe in an email chain with leadership copied.

The unprepared response:

  • Shock: "I can't believe they just did that"
  • Defensiveness: "That's not my fault!"
  • Emotional reaction: Anger, hurt, or panic
  • Poor execution: Stammering, over-explaining, or looking guilty

Why this happens: You never thought about this possibility, so you're caught completely off-guard.

The result: Even if you're not actually at fault, you look bad because you handled it poorly.

The Prepared Response

If you've practiced negative visualization, you've already thought:

"What if someone tries to throw me under the bus? What would I do?"

You've prepared a response:

Option 1: The Calm Clarification

"I appreciate you bringing this up. Let me clarify what actually happened. [Clear, factual explanation without emotion or defensiveness]. Here's what I'm doing to ensure this doesn't happen again."

Option 2: The Redirect

"That's an interesting perspective. My understanding is different—here's what I observed. [Factual account]. I'd be happy to discuss this further offline to make sure we're aligned."

Option 3: The Documentation

"Thanks for raising this. For context, here's the email thread showing [evidence that contradicts their claim]. I want to make sure everyone has the full picture."

The key: Because you've already thought about this scenario, you're not surprised. You're not emotional. You execute your prepared response calmly and effectively.

The result: You look professional, composed, and credible. The person who tried to throw you under the bus often ends up looking worse than you.

The Preemptive Defense

Even better than responding well is making it hard to throw you under the bus in the first place.

How to do this:

  • Document everything: Keep records of decisions, communications, and agreements
  • Communicate clearly: Make sure everyone knows what you're responsible for (and what you're not)
  • Manage expectations: Set realistic timelines and deliverables upfront
  • Build relationships: When people know and trust you, they're less likely to believe someone throwing you under the bus
  • Deliver consistently: A track record of reliability is your best defense

This is negative visualization applied proactively:

"If someone tried to blame me for this, what evidence would protect me?"

How to Practice Negative Visualization

The Daily Practice

Every morning or evening, spend 5-10 minutes asking:

1. "What's the worst thing that could happen today/this week?"

Be specific:

  • A client could cancel
  • A team member could quit
  • Someone could challenge me in a meeting
  • A project could fail
  • I could get sick or injured
  • A relationship could have conflict

2. "If that happened, what would I do?"

Don't just worry about it—plan for it:

  • What's my response?
  • What resources would I need?
  • Who would I call?
  • What's my backup plan?

3. "How can I prepare for this now?"

Take action before the crisis:

  • Document important information
  • Build relationships you might need
  • Create contingency plans
  • Develop skills that would help

The result: When the worst happens, you've already thought through it. You're not caught flat-footed.

The Scenario Planning Practice

For big projects, relationships, or goals, run through scenarios:

Scenario 1: Best case

  • What does wild success look like?
  • How would I handle that?

Scenario 2: Expected case

  • What's the most likely outcome?
  • What's the plan?

Scenario 3: Worst case

  • What's the absolute worst that could happen?
  • How would I handle it?
  • What's my recovery plan?

The key: Spend as much time on Scenario 3 as you do on Scenario 1.

Most people only plan for best and expected cases, then they're destroyed when the worst happens.

High performers plan for all three, so they're ready for anything.

The Relationship Practice

In any important relationship—marriage, business partnership, friendship—ask:

"What would I do if this relationship ended or went badly?"

This isn't pessimism. This is preparation.

Examples:

  • Marriage: "If we went through a rough patch, what would I do? Would I fight for it? Get counseling? What resources would I need?"
  • Business partnership: "If my partner wanted out or we had a major disagreement, what's the plan? Do we have agreements in writing?"
  • Key employee: "If this person quit tomorrow, what would I do? Who could step in? What knowledge needs to be documented?"

The result:

You're not blindsided.

You have a plan.

And often, having the plan prevents the worst from happening because you've addressed vulnerabilities proactively.

The Difference Between Pessimism and Preparation

Pessimism says: "Bad things will happen and there's nothing I can do about it."

Preparation says: "Bad things might happen, so I'll prepare for them so I can handle them effectively."

Pessimism is passive and disempowering.

Preparation is active and empowering.

The Mindset Shift

Pessimist:

  • Focuses on the worst
  • Feels helpless
  • Doesn't take action
  • Lives in fear

Stoic (Negative Visualization):

  • Considers the worst
  • Prepares for it
  • Takes proactive action
  • Lives with confidence because they're prepared

Optimist (Unprepared):

  • Ignores the worst
  • Hopes it won't happen
  • Doesn't prepare
  • Gets destroyed when it does happen

The irony: The person who prepares for the worst often experiences it less severely than the person who hoped for the best.

Why This Works: The Psychology of Preparation

It Reduces the Amygdala Hijack

When something unexpected and threatening happens, your amygdala (the fear center of your brain) takes over. This is the "fight, flight, or freeze" response.

The problem: When your amygdala is in control, your prefrontal cortex (rational thinking) goes offline. You can't think clearly. You react emotionally.

How preparation helps: When you've mentally rehearsed a scenario, it's no longer "unexpected." Your brain recognizes it as something you've "experienced" before (even if only mentally).

The result: Your amygdala doesn't hijack you as strongly. You stay calmer. You can think clearly and execute your prepared response.

It Builds Confidence

When you know you've prepared for the worst:

  • You're less anxious because you have a plan
  • You're more confident because you know you can handle it
  • You're more present because you're not worrying constantly

The unprepared person carries background anxiety about all the things that could go wrong.

The prepared person has peace of mind because they've already addressed those possibilities.

It Creates Better Outcomes

When you respond instead of react:

  • You make better decisions
  • You communicate more effectively
  • You maintain your reputation
  • You recover faster
  • You often turn a potential disaster into a minor setback

The person who freezes or panics creates worse outcomes than necessary.

The person who's prepared often handles the situation so well that others don't even realize how bad it could have been.

Application: Start Preparing Today

This Week

Pick one area of your life and ask:

"What's the worst thing that could happen here in the next month?"

Then:

  1. Write down the worst-case scenario
  2. Write down exactly what you'd do if it happened
  3. Identify one action you can take now to prepare for it or prevent it

Examples:

Work: "What if my biggest client cancelled?"

  • Response: Have a list of prospects ready, maintain other client relationships
  • Preparation: Start building relationships with 2-3 potential new clients now

Relationship: "What if we had a major fight?"

  • Response: I'd stay calm, listen first, then explain my perspective without attacking
  • Preparation: Practice this communication style in small disagreements now

Health: "What if I got injured and couldn't work out for 3 months?"

  • Response: Focus on what I can do (nutrition, mobility, rehab)
  • Preparation: Build savings for potential medical costs, learn about injury prevention now

This Month

Run scenario planning for your biggest goal or project:

  • Best case
  • Expected case
  • Worst case

Spend equal time planning for all three.

This Year

Build the habit of negative visualization:

  • 5-10 minutes each morning or evening
  • Ask what could go wrong
  • Prepare for it
  • Take proactive action

The result: By the end of the year, you'll be one of the few people who doesn't get caught flat-footed when challenges arise.

Conclusion: Stop Hoping, Start Preparing

Most people get caught flat-footed like a deer in the headlights because they hope for the best and don't prepare for the worst.

  • The Stoics knew better.
  • The military knows better.
  • Martial artists know better.

We deliberately put ourselves in the worst situations so we're not surprised when they happen for real.

We pay money to get punched, kicked, thrown, and choked so that when life "punches" us, we don't freeze.

We practice premeditatio malorum—negative visualization—so that when someone throws us under the bus, when a project fails, when a relationship struggles, when anything goes wrong, we've already prepared our response.

You don't deal with it when it happens.

You prepare for it before it happens.

That's the difference between the person who freezes and the person who responds effectively.

Stop being the deer in the headlights.

Start preparing for the worst.

Not because you're pessimistic, but because when you're prepared for the worst, you can handle anything that comes your way.

That's how you stay calm under pressure. That's how you make good decisions in bad situations. That's how you build a reputation for being unshakeable.

The worst may or may not happen.

The question is: Will you be ready if it does?

Charles Doublet

Helping young men to become warriors, leaders, and teachers. Showing them how to overcome fear, bullies, and life's challenges so they can live the life they were meant to live, for more, check out https://CharlesDoublet.com/

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